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Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $72.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.4 pts over 57 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded$72.8k
BUY No @ 43¢ · 167,539 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $72.8k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $72.8k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+130American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.5%
- As American odds
- +130 no vig
- Size
- $72.8k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 14:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x6cd65bd6…
This wallet's graded record
30/57-1.4 pts
expected 30.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsNo price · entry 43¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $92.2k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $153.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |