← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It won. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.5k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 58,566 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet hitfardedidi took Yes (buy) for $30.5k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $30.5k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 00:00 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hitfardedidi
- Tx
- 0xff25f56a…
This wallet's graded record
5/10-0.3 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $92.2k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $153.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |