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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did +43.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+43.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$123.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$81.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $531.3k volume · 58 trades · since Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$82.2k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$388
Closed-position win rate
30%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
132d
11 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.1 | +43.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $74.6k | called |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $49.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x83ab43…