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What this means. A wallet put $74.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$74.6k
BUY Yes @ 56¢ · 133,225 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet aaleoleoleo took Yes (buy) for $74.6k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $74.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $74.6k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 11:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aaleoleoleo
- Tx
- 0xc27ad678…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+43.5 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsYes price · entry 56¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $92.2k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $153.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |