← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $49.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.2k
BUY Yes @ 57¢ · 86,393 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet aaleoleoleo took Yes (buy) for $49.2k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 57.0%
- As American odds
- −133 no vig
- Size
- $49.2k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 09:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 20, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aaleoleoleo
- Tx
- 0xe4b62548…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+43.5 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +43 ptsYes price · entry 57¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $91.0k 4.3× usual |
excluded |