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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 12,931 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet starbuck02 took Yes (sell) for $12.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 14:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 20, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- starbuck02
- Tx
- 0xd45e535e…
This wallet's graded record
7/12-6.0 pts
expected 7.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $91.0k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |