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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -70.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-70.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$36.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$45.3k
Last 30 days −$662 · $2.51M volume · 4,960 trades · since May 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$93.7k
Open P&L · 104 positions
−$36.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
170d
1276 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -70.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $13.0k | missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb767ac…