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Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded$15.0k
SELL No @ 65¢ · 23,137 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Ermelo took No (sell) for $15.0k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 35.0%
- As American odds
- +186 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 13:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Ermelo
- Tx
- 0xa0b389ef…
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Entry to resolution
Grade +65 ptsNo price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $92.2k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $153.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |