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Ermelo

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$80.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$27.4k
Last 30 days −$0 · $7.50M volume · 12,300 trades · since Jun 19, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$61.9k
Open P&L · 39 positions
−$34.6k
Closed-position win rate
66%
194 closed
Wallet age · markets
127d
165 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 62¢ $22.9k38% 101d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 96.4¢ $15.2k4% 104d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL England @ 87¢ $15.0k13% 104d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Mexico @ 34¢ $12.7k66% 110d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL No @ 65¢ $15.0k35% 111d agoexcluded

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