VD721lsj4938Dk388

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -70.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-10-24?−$18Yes · avg 51¢ → 50¢ · $2,049 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5+$43Over · avg 49¢ → 50¢ · $1,459 Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners+$207Over · avg 50¢ → 68¢ · $800 Djurgardens IF vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5+$38Over · avg 51¢ → 54¢ · $727 Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)+$31Watford FC · avg 55¢ → 58¢ · $590 Will Manta FC win on 2026-10-24?+$0No · avg 57¢ → 57¢ · $494 Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-10-24?−$33No · avg 54¢ → 50¢ · $409 Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Hamad Medjedovic+$193Alex Molcan · avg 40¢ → 82¢ · $380

Price-adjusted edge

-70.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.7

Flagged volume

$223.5k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$239.6k

Last 30 days −$22.7k · $6.36M volume · 9,762 trades · since Jun 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$1.59M

Open P&L · 500 positions

−$1.17M

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

118d

3784 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.7	-70.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	LOW BUY No @ 70¢	$11.7k	70%	2d ago	missed
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?	LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢	$10.8k	47%	62d ago	excluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	MED BUY Under @ 49¢	$61.4k 4.8× usual	49%	106d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	LOW BUY No @ 51¢	$12.3k	51%	111d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	LOW BUY No @ 52¢	$13.3k	52%	112d ago	excluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	MED BUY No @ 50¢	$114.1k 8.9× usual	50%	114d ago	excluded

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?missed

BUY No @ 70¢$11.7k

LOW VD721lsj4938Dk388 · 2d ago

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?excluded

BUY Yes @ 47¢$10.8k

LOW VD721lsj4938Dk388 · 62d ago

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Under @ 49¢$61.4k

MED VD721lsj4938Dk388 · 106d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded

BUY No @ 51¢$12.3k

LOW VD721lsj4938Dk388 · 111d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?excluded

BUY No @ 52¢$13.3k

LOW VD721lsj4938Dk388 · 112d ago

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded

BUY No @ 50¢$114.1k

MED VD721lsj4938Dk388 · 114d ago

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