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Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $195.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 25% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded$195.6k
BUY No @ 25¢ · 782,273 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)4.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $195.6k at an average 25¢. At that price the market implied a 25% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $195.6k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 25¢ means
25%chance the market gave
+300American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 25¢
- Implied odds
- 25.0%
- As American odds
- +300 no vig
- Size
- $195.6k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 14:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x4ec7a2f6…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $92.2k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $153.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |