0x5016…1eeb

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did -34.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?−$9Yes · avg 68¢ → 68¢ · $1,191 · 1 proven with, 0 against

Price-adjusted edge

-34.0 pts

Called / graded

1/2

Expected from price

1.7

Flagged volume

$315.7k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$63.3k

Last 30 days +$22.6k · $3.08M volume · 904 trades · since May 09, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$283.9k

Open P&L · 23 positions

−$23.3k

Closed-position win rate

80%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

168d

570 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	1	1.7	-34.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢	$25.0k	82%	38d ago	called
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	LOW BUY Yes @ 92.6¢	$10.0k	93%	40d ago	excluded
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	LOW SELL Yes @ 92.1¢	$14.1k	8%	42d ago	excluded
France vs. England: Team to Win	LOW BUY England @ 97.4¢	$66.0k 2.4× usual	97%	97d ago	excluded
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY England @ 93¢	$20.0k	93%	104d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢	$31.6k	2%	106d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢	$20.0k	62%	107d ago	called
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	MED SELL Yes @ 68¢	$39.0k	32%	111d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢	$30.0k	52%	112d ago	called
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢	$60.0k 2.2× usual	86%	112d ago	missed

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?called

BUY Yes @ 82¢$25.0k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 38d ago

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?excluded

BUY Yes @ 92.6¢$10.0k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 40d ago

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?excluded

SELL Yes @ 92.1¢$14.1k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 42d ago

France vs. England: Team to Winexcluded

BUY England @ 97.4¢$66.0k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 97d ago

Norway vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

BUY England @ 93¢$20.0k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 104d ago

Will France win on 2026-07-09?excluded

SELL Yes @ 98¢$31.6k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 106d ago

Will France win on 2026-07-09?called

BUY Yes @ 62¢$20.0k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 107d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded

SELL Yes @ 68¢$39.0k

MED 0x5016…1eeb · 111d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?called

BUY Yes @ 52¢$30.0k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 112d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?missed

BUY Yes @ 86¢$60.0k

LOW 0x5016…1eeb · 112d ago

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