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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+0.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$77.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$26.9k
Last 30 days −$19.4k · $1.05M volume · 240 trades · since Jun 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$176.3k
Open P&L · 36 positions
−$145.7k
Closed-position win rate
95%
38 closed
Wallet age · markets
120d
74 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 14¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ | $36.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 44¢ | $13.0k | missed |
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $17.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3ce8e7…