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Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $36.0k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded$36.0k
BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ · 73,479 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x3ce8…3cd9 took Nuggets (buy) for $36.0k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $36.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $36.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 22:32 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x3ce8…3cd9
- Tx
- 0x21da511c…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+0.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsNuggets price · entry 49¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 98.3¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 91¢ | $39.6k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 14¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 82¢ | $87.8k | excluded |