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easymoney9

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +5.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+5.0 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$374.6k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$57.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $7.51M volume · 10,393 trades · since Apr 16, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$1.28M
Open P&L · 90 positions
−$1.22M
Closed-position win rate
78%
208 closed
Wallet age · markets
191d
265 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports321.9+5.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ $11.0k55% 111d agocalled
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $50.0k
2.1× usual
0% 112d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 93¢ $18.6k93% 112d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 93¢ $46.5k93% 112d agocalled
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ $19.5k65% 123d agoexcluded
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?MED BUY Yes @ 71¢ $71.0k
3.0× usual
71% 124d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ $59.1k
2.5× usual
68% 125d agocalled
Will England win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ $10.6k59% 128d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $22.9k77% 128d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $24.8k62% 130d agomissed
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ $24.5k49% 131d agoexcluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?LOW BUY No @ 50¢ $16.2k50% 132d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfaa2b5…