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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.2k
BUY No @ 47¢ · 23,861 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $11.2k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $11.2k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 16:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xe0009f78…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsNo price · entry 47¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $92.2k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $153.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |