Whitelied91

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +48.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?+$3,066No · avg 93.3¢ → 96.4¢ · $96.5k Xi Jinping out before 2027?+$1,777No · avg 94.8¢ → 96.8¢ · $88.9k

Price-adjusted edge

+48.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.5

Flagged volume

$51.2k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$94.5k

Last 30 days +$4,608 · $1.21M volume · 1,259 trades · since Jun 30, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$167.0k

Open P&L · 25 positions

−$72.5k

Closed-position win rate

68%

22 closed

Wallet age · markets

117d

47 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.5	+48.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢	$51.2k	52%	112d ago	called

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?called

BUY Yes @ 52¢$51.2k

LOW Whitelied91 · 112d ago

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