← Live flags
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $137.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded$137.0k
BUY Yes @ 79¢ · 174,048 shares in 7 fills
Size ≥ $100k7 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet5.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $137.0k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $137.0k+2
7 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−370American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 78.7%
- As American odds
- −370 no vig
- Size
- $137.0k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 14:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xc198c267…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +21 ptsYes price · entry 79¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $92.2k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $153.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |