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What this means. A wallet put $137.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded
$137.6k
SELL Yes @ 43¢ · 321,497 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet skk1ch took Yes (sell) for $137.6k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $137.6k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
57.2%
As American odds
−134 no vig
Size
$137.6k
Placed
Jul 04, 13:22 EDT
Market close
Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
skk1ch
Tx
0x90851446…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+54.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -57 pts
Yes price · entry 43¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $137.6k WHALE $137.6K @ 43¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $18.9k0% LinkE5112d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $54.9k
2.6× usual
0% Ma999112d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $92.2k
4.6× usual
0% HectorHuang112d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $153.1k
3.1× usual
0% Hugewinner112d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.7k0% crappy112d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.6k0% gshan112d agoexcluded