Weekly report card
Week 2026-13
Mar 23, 00:00 EDT – Mar 29, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week
Price-adjusted edge
+8.4 pts
Called
95/139
Expected from price
83.4
Std. error
±3.9
In week 2026-13, 139 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 95 times; entry prices implied 83.4. Whales beat the price by +8.4 pts. One week is a small sample.
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 121 | 86 | 71.5 | +11.9 pts |
| Crypto | 18 | 9 | 11.8 | -15.7 pts |
Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)
called213d ago
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars
BUYIllinois Fighting Illini@ 41¢→Illinois Fighting Illini
$55.7k · woyaozhuanqian1implied 41%
called213d ago
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars
BUYIllinois Fighting Illini@ 41¢→Illinois Fighting Illini
$40.7k · turkxbtimplied 41%
called212d ago
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars
BUYIllinois Fighting Illini@ 41¢→Illinois Fighting Illini
$20.3k · Soarin22implied 41%
Biggest misses
Every graded flag
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | MED BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 70¢ | $817.0k 19.2× usual |
called |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | MED BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 76¢ | $496.8k 2.5× usual |
called |
 Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | MED BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 75¢ | $331.7k 7.8× usual |
called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | HIGH BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 75¢ | $298.0k | called |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | MED SELL Purdue Boilermakers @ 28¢ | $239.2k 7.1× usual |
called |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | MED BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 55¢ | $231.8k 5.4× usual |
called |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | MED BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 54¢ | $133.8k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | MED BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 54¢ | $133.8k 7.0× usual |
called |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | MED BUY Nuggets @ 51¢ | $125.6k 2.9× usual |
called |
 Wild vs. Panthers | MED BUY Wild @ 59¢ | $122.4k | called |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | MED BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 76¢ | $96.7k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 71¢ | $86.8k 2.0× usual |
called |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | LOW BUY Ducks @ 42¢ | $84.0k | missed |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | MED BUY Ducks @ 42¢ | $84.0k | missed |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 46¢ | $76.6k 3.8× usual |
missed |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 73¢ | $72.5k 2.4× usual |
called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 24¢ | $69.7k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 27¢ | $67.5k 2.8× usual |
called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 27¢ | $61.9k 2.4× usual |
called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 73¢ | $58.0k 2.4× usual |
called |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | MED BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 70¢ | $57.7k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | MED BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 41¢ | $55.7k | called |
| Wild vs. Panthers | MED BUY Wild @ 58¢ | $52.9k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 26¢ | $49.4k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | MED BUY Iowa Hawkeyes @ 24¢ | $47.8k | missed |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 25¢ | $45.0k | called |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 50¢ | $41.1k | called |
| Wild vs. Panthers | MED BUY Panthers @ 41¢ | $41.0k | missed |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 41¢ | $40.7k | called |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | HIGH SELL No @ 28¢ | $38.4k | called |
| Wild vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Panthers @ 41¢ | $34.9k | missed |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | MED BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 73¢ | $34.2k | called |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | MED BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 29¢ | $32.4k | missed |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 24¢ | $32.1k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 27¢ | $31.9k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 23¢ | $31.8k | called |
| Wild vs. Panthers | MED BUY Wild @ 58¢ | $31.6k | called |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 52¢ | $30.9k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 69¢ | $30.4k | called |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 54¢ | $30.0k | called |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | LOW BUY Ducks @ 42¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | LOW BUY St. Johns Red Storm @ 49¢ | $30.0k | called |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | MED BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 75¢ | $29.8k | called |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | LOW BUY Duke Blue Devils @ 51¢ | $29.5k | missed |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 23¢ | $28.8k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 26¢ | $26.0k | called |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 45¢ | $24.8k | missed |
 Will France win on 2026-03-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $24.3k | called |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 24¢ | $24.0k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $22.7k | missed |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | LOW BUY Warriors @ 50¢ | $22.5k | missed |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 23¢ | $22.4k | called |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | LOW BUY St. Johns Red Storm @ 51¢ | $21.9k | called |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | LOW SELL Texas Longhorns @ 24¢ | $21.6k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 41¢ | $20.3k | called |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 49¢ | $20.1k | called |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 46¢ | $19.8k | missed |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 29¢ | $19.8k | missed |
| Wild vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Wild @ 59¢ | $19.3k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 73¢ | $18.6k | called |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 47¢ | $18.6k | missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-03-27? | LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $18.5k | missed |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) | LOW BUY Pacers @ 52¢ | $17.4k | called |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 55¢ | $17.4k | called |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 29¢ | $17.3k | missed |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 53¢ | $16.7k | called |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 23¢ | $16.6k | called |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | LOW SELL Texas Longhorns @ 24¢ | $16.6k | called |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | LOW BUY Duke Blue Devils @ 52¢ | $16.5k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $16.4k | called |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 23¢ | $16.1k | called |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 54¢ | $16.1k | called |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 76¢ | $16.0k | called |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 70¢ | $15.9k | missed |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 44¢ | $15.8k | called |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 24¢ | $15.7k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $15.6k | called |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | LOW SELL Texas Longhorns @ 25¢ | $15.4k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $15.3k | missed |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 53¢ | $15.3k | called |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 46¢ | $15.2k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $15.1k | missed |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 24¢ | $15.1k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 80¢ | $15.1k | missed |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 47¢ | $15.1k | missed |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 26¢ | $15.1k | called |
| Wild vs. Panthers | LOW BUY Wild @ 56¢ | $15.0k | called |
 Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 64¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 47¢ | $14.9k | missed |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 75¢ | $14.9k | called |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | LOW BUY Duke Blue Devils @ 50¢ | $14.9k | missed |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 75¢ | $14.8k | called |
 Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinner | LOW BUY Jannik Sinner @ 93¢ | $14.7k | called |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 45¢ | $14.6k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ | $14.5k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ | $14.4k | called |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 29¢ | $14.4k | missed |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | MED SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 69¢ | $14.3k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $14.2k | called |
| Canucks vs. Flames | LOW BUY Canucks @ 41¢ | $14.2k | missed |
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