98132wxc

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +31.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?−$11Yes · avg 71¢ → 68¢ · $289 Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?+$6No · avg 54¢ → 82¢ · $16 California Clinic Funding Proposition+$2No · avg 63¢ → 74¢ · $15 Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?−$9Yes · avg 43¢ → 21¢ · $9 Will Prodigy SEG Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?+$1Yes · avg 37¢ → 40¢ · $8 Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?−$5Yes · avg 58¢ → 32¢ · $6 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?−$18Yes · avg 47¢ → 12¢ · $6 Will Hurupay launch a token by December 31, 2026?−$6Yes · avg 60¢ → 30¢ · $6

Price-adjusted edge

+31.5 pts

Called / graded

3/4

Expected from price

1.7

Flagged volume

$186.1k

Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$49.9k

Last 30 days −$1,022 · $3.64M volume · 10,474 trades · since Mar 26, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$6,464

Open P&L · 33 positions

−$188

Closed-position win rate

44%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

213d

2567 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Crypto	1	1	0.5	+51.5 pts
Sports	3	2	1.3	+24.8 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢	$14.9k	48%	145d ago	called
Lakers vs. Rockets	LOW SELL Rockets @ 51¢	$25.6k	49%	180d ago	excluded
Nuggets vs. Spurs	MED SELL Spurs @ 81¢	$58.8k 2.3× usual	19%	195d ago	called
Hornets vs. Celtics	MED SELL Celtics @ 66¢	$25.0k	34%	200d ago	missed
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 27¢	$61.9k 2.4× usual	73%	210d ago	called

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?called

SELL Yes @ 52¢$14.9k

LOW 98132wxc · 145d ago

Lakers vs. Rocketsexcluded

SELL Rockets @ 51¢$25.6k

LOW 98132wxc · 180d ago

Nuggets vs. Spurscalled

SELL Spurs @ 81¢$58.8k

MED 98132wxc · 195d ago

Hornets vs. Celticsmissed

SELL Celtics @ 66¢$25.0k

MED 98132wxc · 200d ago

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyescalled

SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 27¢$61.9k

LOW 98132wxc · 210d ago

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