← Wallets
+$10.7kNo · avg 15¢ → 36¢ · $18.0k+$104No · avg 85¢ → 95.5¢ · $954
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +24.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+24.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$51.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$424.1k
Last 30 days −$12.0k · $8.13M volume · 5,710 trades · since Jan 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.85M
Open P&L · 24 positions
−$138.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
2096d
165 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +24.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
 Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 24¢ | $24.0k | called |
 Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x903221…