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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did +41.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+41.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$171.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$148.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.22M volume · 25,207 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$913.9k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
76%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
213d
618 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | +41.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Heat (-9.5) | MED BUY Heat @ 47¢ | $124.3k 7.5× usual |
excluded |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pistons @ 45¢ | $14.6k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 73¢ | $18.6k | called |
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | LOW BUY Houston Cougars @ 57¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5919aa…