← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -18.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-18.1 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$274.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$34.7k
Last 30 days −$10.7k · $11.86M volume · 1,915 trades · since Nov 16, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.17M
Open P&L · 199 positions
−$131.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
708d
957 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | -18.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 28¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Cowboys @ 52¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Steelers vs. Browns | LOW BUY Browns @ 85¢ | $21.3k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Packers | LOW BUY Falcons @ 95¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW SELL Colts @ 43¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 92¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 75¢ | $15.3k | called |
 Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 46¢ | $19.8k | missed |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | LOW SELL Missouri Tigers @ 54¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | MED BUY Patriots @ 33¢ | $34.0k | missed |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY Rams @ 45¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Broncos @ 48¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Patriots @ 65¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7b8816…