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Colts vs. Chiefsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on not Colts, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Colts vs. Chiefsexcluded$13.4k
SELL Colts @ 43¢ · 31,152 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Ajwritescrypt0 took Colts (sell) for $13.4k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 57.0%
- As American odds
- −133 no vig
- Size
- $13.4k
- Placed
- Sep 20, 20:32 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 20, 20:20 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Ajwritescrypt0
- Tx
- 0x593bf91d…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-18.1 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +43 ptsColts price · entry 43¢ · resolved Chiefs · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $44.2k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 97.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | MED BUY Chiefs @ 76¢ | $201.9k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | MED BUY Colts @ 29¢ | $87.3k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 69¢ | $20.6k | excluded |