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+$107No · avg 50¢ → 83¢ · $268−$107Yes · avg 50¢ → 17¢ · $54
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +59.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+59.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$55.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$275
Last 30 days +$0 · $280.1k volume · 134 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$275
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$0
Closed-position win rate
0%
2 closed
Wallet age · markets
213d
1 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +59.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | MED BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 41¢ | $55.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa37e31…