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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -64.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-64.1 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$161.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$196.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $14.66M volume · 4,867 trades · since Feb 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 455 closed
+$522.2k
Open P&L · 119 positions
−$325.4k
Closed-position win rate
71%
455 closed
Wallet age · markets
252d
567 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -64.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Team Yandex @ 45¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | MED BUY PARIVISION @ 59¢ | $100.0k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | LOW BUY PARIVISION @ 64¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 | LOW SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x66fbe4…