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What this means. A wallet put $38.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.4k
SELL No @ 28¢ · 137,617 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletCrypto
What happened
Wallet 0xc258…d3f5 took No (sell) for $38.4k at an average 28¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $38.4k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 28¢
- Implied odds
- 72.1%
- Size
- $38.4k
- Placed
- Mar 09, 20:12 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 29, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xc258…d3f5
- Tx
- 0x9bc99898…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+27.9 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $30.7k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 65¢ | $39.2k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $10.3k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $11.1k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $15.6k | called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $10.2k | missed |