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What this means. A wallet put $39.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$39.2k
SELL Yes @ 65¢ · 60,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 999ww took Yes (sell) for $39.2k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $39.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 34.6%
- Size
- $39.2k
- Placed
- Mar 28, 06:58 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 29, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 999ww
- Tx
- 0x203bb840…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-39.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -35 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $10.3k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $11.1k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $15.6k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 84¢ | $10.2k | missed |