← Wallets
+$5,619No · avg 57¢ → 80¢ · $19.6k+$2,921No · avg 72¢ → 91.5¢ · $13.9k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$1,193No · avg 76¢ → 95.3¢ · $5,923+$1,454No · avg 66¢ → 96.9¢ · $4,626+$702No · avg 63¢ → 88¢ · $2,508+$791No · avg 65¢ → 97.6¢ · $2,356−$977Yes · avg 42¢ → 26¢ · $1,492+$62No · avg 74¢ → 95.5¢ · $275
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.5 wins, so it did -11.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-11.4 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
3.5
Flagged volume
$136.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$19.8k
Last 30 days −$397 · $14.21M volume · 15,343 trades · since Nov 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$653.9k
Open P&L · 35 positions
−$89.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
718d
910 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +19.0 pts |
| Crypto | 3 | 2 | 2.6 | -21.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $32.9k 2.3× usual |
called |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 65¢ | $13.6k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $10.2k | called |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $15.6k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $15.1k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ | $28.1k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x10fbc3d2421e002f269089d15be6a56ce6ffc66c"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x10fbc3d2421e002f269089d15be6a56ce6ffc66c.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x10fbc3…