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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +26.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+26.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$86.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2,640
Last 30 days −$1,134 · $6.60M volume · 9,361 trades · since Feb 01, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$26.0k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$18.9k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
265d
1229 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +26.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will OFI win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
 Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
 Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 26¢ | $15.1k | called |
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