← Wallets
+$1,186No · avg 80¢ → 95.1¢ · $7,656+$1,448No · avg 60¢ → 78¢ · $6,416+$1,467No · avg 68¢ → 92¢ · $5,728+$3,628Yes · avg 24¢ → 80¢ · $5,154+$2,325No · avg 47¢ → 93.5¢ · $4,675−$244No · avg 27¢ → 26¢ · $4,150+$22No · avg 90.1¢ → 90.6¢ · $3,832+$1,230No · avg 50¢ → 78¢ · $3,348
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 5. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -0.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-0.9 pts
Called / graded
2/5
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$417.2k
Sample size5 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.3 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
−$90k5 graded bets in the order they resolved · 2 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes at 73¢) and the edge is -7.9 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
0–20¢
0% vs 9% · n=2
20–40¢
0% vs 33% · n=1
60–80¢
100% vs 73% · n=1
80–100¢
100% vs 80% · n=1
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$86.3k
Last 30 days +$6,205 · $48.67M volume · 71,274 trades · since Jun 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.49M
Open P&L · 354 positions
−$17.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
493d
4829 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | -9.4 pts |
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -6.4 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +27.0 pts |
History
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5ecde7…