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What this means. A wallet put $16.6k on not Tennessee Volunteers, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.6k
SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 23¢ · 72,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet shadow54 took Tennessee Volunteers (sell) for $16.6k at an average 23¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved Michigan Wolverines, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 23¢
- Implied odds
- 77.0%
- As American odds
- −335 no vig
- Size
- $16.6k
- Placed
- Mar 29, 09:52 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 29, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Michigan Wolverines
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- shadow54
- Tx
- 0xefadd40b…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+23.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +23 ptsTennessee Volunteers price · entry 23¢ · resolved Michigan Wolverines · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $33.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $87.6k 3.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |