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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -21.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-21.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$50.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$88.0k
Last 30 days +$1,403 · $861.2k volume · 258 trades · since Nov 03, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$26.1k
Open P&L · 24 positions
−$113.3k
Closed-position win rate
54%
140 closed
Wallet age · markets
355d
162 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | -21.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 70¢ | $13.0k | missed |
 Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 77¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 73¢ | $12.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9f92d4…