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Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $125.6k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$125.6k
BUY Nuggets @ 51¢ · 248,030 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1h2.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 05143 took Nuggets (buy) for $125.6k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $125.6k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.6%
- As American odds
- −103 no vig
- Size
- $125.6k
- Placed
- Mar 29, 20:51 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 29, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 05143
- Tx
- 0x38ec2a73…
This wallet's graded record
3/8-12.5 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsNuggets price · entry 51¢ · resolved Nuggets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 52¢ | $74.2k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Warriors @ 51¢ | $227.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 50¢ | $41.1k | called | |
| LOW BUY Warriors @ 50¢ | $22.5k | missed |