ocean1234

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +50.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+50.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.5

Flagged volume

$119.5k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$163.6k

Last 30 days +$0 · $1.11M volume · 202 trades · since Mar 03, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$163.6k

Open P&L · 0 positions

+$0

Closed-position win rate

50%

24 closed

Wallet age · markets

235d

24 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	1	0.5	+50.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result	Open on Polymarket
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	LOW BUY Nuggets @ 50¢	$41.1k	50%	208d ago	called
Timberwolves vs. Lakers	MED BUY Timberwolves @ 56¢	$78.4k	56%	227d ago	excluded

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)called

BUY Nuggets @ 50¢$41.1k

LOW ocean1234 · 208d ago

Timberwolves vs. Lakersexcluded

BUY Timberwolves @ 56¢$78.4k

MED ocean1234 · 227d ago

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0e6b84…