← Wallets
−$18.1kYes · avg 12¢ → 5¢ · $12.4k+$2,944Yes · avg 9.8¢ → 16¢ · $7,951+$1,260Yes · avg 3.6¢ → 5¢ · $4,499+$436Yes · avg 3.9¢ → 5.2¢ · $1,694−$3,104Yes · avg 34¢ → 8.6¢ · $1,026
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.4 wins, so it did +14.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+14.7 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.4
Flagged volume
$91.1k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$30.7k
Last 30 days −$2,228 · $4.95M volume · 6,121 trades · since Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,547
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$18.9k
Closed-position win rate
21%
170 closed
Wallet age · markets
1317d
176 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.4 | +14.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 44¢ | $15.8k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | LOW SELL Houston Cougars @ 56¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers | LOW SELL Texas Longhorns @ 24¢ | $16.6k | called |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 46¢ | $15.2k | missed |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | LOW SELL Louisville Cardinals @ 21¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | LOW SELL Missouri Tigers @ 45¢ | $16.2k | called |
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