← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.6 wins, so it did +10.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+10.0 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.6
Flagged volume
$719.9k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.02M
Last 30 days −$6,355 · $27.97M volume · 18,969 trades · since Jan 09, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$5.45M
Open P&L · 475 positions
−$3.30M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
288d
1181 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.6 | +10.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 49ers vs. Chargers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 99¢ | $99.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
 Spread: Pistons (-10.5) | LOW BUY Pistons @ 50¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | LOW BUY Spurs @ 60¢ | $27.1k | called |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 73¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 48¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 63¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 78¢ | $35.9k | missed |
 Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans | LOW BUY Gujarat Titans @ 90¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Wizards vs. Nets | LOW BUY Nets @ 59¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | LOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 49¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
 UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims) | LOW BUY Tyrell Fortune @ 54¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW BUY Illinois Fighting Illini @ 73¢ | $72.5k 2.4× usual |
called |
 Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | LOW BUY St. Johns Red Storm @ 49¢ | $30.0k | called |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | LOW BUY Houston Cougars @ 49¢ | $48.6k | excluded |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | MED BUY Nebraska Cornhuskers @ 54¢ | $107.1k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | LOW BUY Miami Hurricanes @ 52¢ | $33.5k | excluded |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | LOW BUY Missouri Tigers @ 46¢ | $45.6k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Heat | MED BUY Rockets @ 56¢ | $56.2k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 38¢ | $36.1k | excluded |
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