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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +2.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+2.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$150.4k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$50.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $463.6k volume · 20 trades · since Jun 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$115.2k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$64.7k
Closed-position win rate
71%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
858d
14 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | +2.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 45¢ | $24.8k | missed |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | LOW BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
 Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 51¢ | $99.7k 3.8× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7bf935…