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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +24.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+24.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$134.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$31.7k
Last 30 days −$0 · $6.13M volume · 6,837 trades · since Oct 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$39.7k
Open P&L · 21 positions
−$7,990
Closed-position win rate
46%
315 closed
Wallet age · markets
372d
327 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +24.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 24¢ | $69.7k | called |
 Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Michigan State Spartans @ 44¢ | $48.9k | excluded |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | LOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 45¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe734d5…