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What this means. A wallet put $76.6k on Michigan State Spartans, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.3 pts over 59 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$76.6k
BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 46¢ · 166,611 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h3.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet elkmonkey took Michigan State Spartans (buy) for $76.6k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Connecticut Huskies, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $76.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Michigan State Spartans wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $76.6k
- Placed
- Mar 27, 14:36 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 27, 21:45 EDT
- Result
- Connecticut Huskies
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elkmonkey
- Tx
- 0x383bc1ee…
This wallet's graded record
33/59-4.3 pts
expected 35.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsMichigan State Spartans price · entry 46¢ · resolved Connecticut Huskies
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Connecticut Huskies @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Connecticut Huskies @ 97.4¢ | $94.1k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Connecticut Huskies @ 99.9¢ | $43.1k | excluded |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Connecticut Huskies @ 99.9¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW SELL Connecticut Huskies @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | LOW BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |