← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -15.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-15.2 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$552.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$641.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $19.37M volume · 49,841 trades · since Feb 01, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 410 closed
−$533.2k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$107.7k
Closed-position win rate
25%
410 closed
Wallet age · markets
265d
404 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | -15.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-03-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $24.3k | called |
 Magic vs. Hawks | LOW SELL Magic @ 40¢ | $47.6k | called |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Magic @ 42¢ | $50.0k | missed |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Pistons @ 58¢ | $54.9k | excluded |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL Yes @ 65¢ | $54.9k | called |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $55.7k | missed |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | LOW SELL Clippers @ 99.9¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Wizards | LOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| Cavaliers vs. Nets | LOW BUY Nets @ 37¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
 Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $41.3k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | LOW SELL Thunder @ 21¢ | $46.4k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | MED BUY Thunder @ 22¢ | $48.6k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x183d846b96510f1987db52648545317427d91270"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x183d846b96510f1987db52648545317427d91270.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x183d84…