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Thunder vs. Pistonsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $48.6k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Pistonsmissed$48.6k
BUY Thunder @ 22¢ · 220,760 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet Lorans21 took Thunder (buy) for $48.6k at an average 22¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved Pistons, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $48.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 22¢ means
22%chance the market gave
+355American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 22¢
- Implied odds
- 22.0%
- As American odds
- +355 no vig
- Size
- $48.6k
- Placed
- Feb 25, 17:23 EST
- Market close
- Feb 25, 19:30 EST
- Result
- Pistons
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Lorans21
- Tx
- 0x52f44616…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-15.2 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -22 ptsThunder price · entry 22¢ · resolved Pistons
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $33.4k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | MED SELL Pistons @ 87¢ | $147.0k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 97.2¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 79¢ | $85.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | MED BUY Pistons @ 79¢ | $147.4k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 79¢ | $10.0k | excluded |