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Thunder vs. Pistonsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $46.4k on not Thunder, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$46.4k
SELL Thunder @ 21¢ · 220,759 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Lorans21 took Thunder (sell) for $46.4k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Pistons. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $46.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 21¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- As American odds
- −376 no vig
- Size
- $46.4k
- Placed
- Feb 25, 18:36 EST
- Market close
- Feb 25, 19:30 EST
- Result
- Pistons
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Lorans21
- Tx
- 0xf0f57dab…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-15.2 pts
expected 1.3 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +21 ptsThunder price · entry 21¢ · resolved Pistons · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 99.9¢ | $33.4k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Pistons @ 87¢ | $147.0k 5.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 97.2¢ | $25.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 79¢ | $85.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Pistons @ 79¢ | $147.4k 4.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 79¢ | $10.0k | excluded |