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What this means. A wallet put $46.4k on not Thunder, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Pistonsexcluded
$46.4k
SELL Thunder @ 21¢ · 220,759 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Lorans21 took Thunder (sell) for $46.4k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Pistons. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $46.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
21¢
Implied odds
79.0%
As American odds
−376 no vig
Size
$46.4k
Placed
Feb 25, 18:36 EST
Market close
Feb 25, 19:30 EST
Result
Pistons
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Lorans21
Tx
0xf0f57dab…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-15.2 pts
expected 1.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +21 pts
Thunder price · entry 21¢ · resolved Pistons · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 21¢ · $46.4k WHALE $46.4K @ 21¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Thunder vs. PistonsLOW BUY Pistons @ 99.9¢ $33.4k100% genj240d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. PistonsMED SELL Pistons @ 87¢ $147.0k
5.2× usual
13% winner877240d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. PistonsLOW BUY Pistons @ 97.2¢ $25.3k97% 08AF240d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. PistonsLOW BUY Pistons @ 79¢ $85.6k
2.7× usual
79% gmanas240d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. PistonsMED BUY Pistons @ 79¢ $147.4k
4.9× usual
79% statwC00KS240d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. PistonsLOW BUY Pistons @ 79¢ $10.0k79% 1of1bray240d agoexcluded