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Magic vs. Hawkscalled
What this means. A wallet put $47.6k on not Magic, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Magic vs. Hawkscalled$47.6k
SELL Magic @ 40¢ · 119,047 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Lorans21 took Magic (sell) for $47.6k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Hawks, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $47.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $47.6k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 17:31 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 16, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Hawks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Lorans21
- Tx
- 0x7c4268a1…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-15.2 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsMagic price · entry 40¢ · resolved Hawks · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW SELL Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $87.6k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $73.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 99¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Magic @ 42¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 59¢ | $65.0k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Hawks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 58¢ | $15.6k | excluded |