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What this means. A wallet put $21.6k on not Texas Longhorns, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.6k
SELL Texas Longhorns @ 24¢ · 90,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0xBai took Texas Longhorns (sell) for $21.6k at an average 24¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Purdue Boilermakers, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 24¢
- Implied odds
- 76.0%
- As American odds
- −317 no vig
- Size
- $21.6k
- Placed
- Mar 25, 19:38 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 26, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Purdue Boilermakers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xBai
- Tx
- 0x8ff397d4…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+24.5 pts
expected 1.5 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +24 ptsTexas Longhorns price · entry 24¢ · resolved Purdue Boilermakers · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 82¢ | $24.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Texas Longhorns @ 27¢ | $15.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Texas Longhorns @ 37¢ | $105.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Texas Longhorns @ 28¢ | $15.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 80¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 79¢ | $31.4k | excluded |