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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$895.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$238.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $14.96M volume · 4,421 trades · since Feb 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$238.3k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
58%
398 closed
Wallet age · markets
258d
223 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Clippers @ 88¢ | $17.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Warriors @ 26¢ | $27.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY 76ers @ 77¢ | $49.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 45¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 97¢ | $58.2k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 77¢ | $41.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 28¢ | $16.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nets @ 82¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 75¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 79¢ | $37.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 51¢ | $17.4k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 75¢ | $73.4k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Purdue Boilermakers @ 82¢ | $24.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Texas Longhorns @ 27¢ | $15.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 84¢ | $31.9k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Pistons @ 80¢ | $38.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 75¢ | $116.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Pistons @ 73¢ | $66.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Magic @ 72¢ | $51.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY 76ers @ 85¢ | $13.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Seahawks @ 89¢ | $58.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Seahawks @ 75¢ | $104.0k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa4f565…