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r888

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did +23.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+23.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$48.4k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$16.4k
Last 30 days +$141 · $6.88M volume · 9,587 trades · since Jun 03, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$108.2k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
60%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
1599d
501 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports221.5+23.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan WolverinesLOW SELL Tennessee Volunteers @ 23¢ $22.4k77% 209d agocalled
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesLOW SELL Iowa Hawkeyes @ 23¢ $11.5k77% 209d agocalled
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston CougarsLOW SELL Houston Cougars @ 58¢ $14.5k42% 212d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xbca69b…