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olegs

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +21.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 2 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
+21.1 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$355.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$40.6k
Last 30 days +$2,841 · $33.53M volume · 91,208 trades · since Nov 07, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$94.4k
Open P&L · 78 positions
−$6,106
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
351d
5371 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports210.6+21.1 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $19.8k99% 2d agopending
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $13.7k92% 3d agopending
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $45.1k
2.4× usual
100% 25d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $16.8k99% 87d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $14.4k98% 87d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 19¢ $11.8k81% 121d agocalled
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ $19.5k20% 121d agomissed
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW SELL No @ 96.2¢ $21.9k4% 179d agomissed
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut HuskiesMED BUY Connecticut Huskies @ 54¢ $133.8k
7.0× usual
54% 212d agocalled
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $15.7k99% 235d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.7k100% 237d agoexcluded
Will Solana dip to $30 in February?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $24.8k99% 263d agoexcluded

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