US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $2.24M 62 flags |
$25.9k 2 wallets |
none |
| Not No | $746.7k 34 flags |
$85.4k 2 wallets |
none |
| Yes | $37.7k 2 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 94.4¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $551.4k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $51.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 96¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 95.2¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 94.5¢ | $94.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $29.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 94.7¢ | $292.3k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.7¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 93.2¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 96.3¢ | $51.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $33.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.1¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 94.8¢ | $55.8k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 93.9¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 93.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 94.2¢ | $93.8k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.4¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.1¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 91.8¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 92.3¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 92.3¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 91.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 93.1¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.1¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.1¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $58.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 96.2¢ | $77.9k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 96.3¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 95.2¢ | $49.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $42.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| HIGH SELL No @ 92.6¢ | $43.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 94.4¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 94.9¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 94¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 91¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 92.2¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 86¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $66.8k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $23.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 98 whale trades on this market totalling $3.03M from 74 wallets. The largest was $551.4k (buy No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($2.24M) went to No. 62 of 98 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb ($551.4k), has no graded flags yet.
Market data from Polymarket (us-strikes-iran-by-february-27-2026).