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US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Resolved: No
Flags
98
Net whale flow → Yes
−$1.46M
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$2.24M
62 flags
$25.9k
2 wallets
none
Not No$746.7k
34 flags
$85.4k
2 wallets
none
Yes$37.7k
2 flags
none none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $24.7k99% 0x5ecd…0787238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $13.6k99% 0xfc8d…55c5238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 98¢ $30.0k2% thejoker96238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ $25.6k1% tourists238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $13.8k99% elmcap2238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $34.9k1% 0x4488…e319238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ $22.3k4% Tenebrus7238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 97¢ $15.3k3% 0xc01f…cd8e238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $12.0k99% onekey09238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 95.9¢ $10.2k4% Jonas317238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 94.4¢ $15.3k6% RealWigger238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.3k0% DaytonaOne238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $27.0k0% sadasd434238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% 0xeba9…99b3 NEW238d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $551.4k
2.8× usual
100% BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $15.5k100% theigloo238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $18.4k100% hanchaohanchao238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $12.0k100% UwO238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $23.0k0% Ingg238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $20.9k1% StudentMoney238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $18.9k0% 0xa9e8…c443238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $26.3k100% AcctToBeRetired238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $15.0k0% Eastreetboyzz238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $18.0k0% hanchaohanchao238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $10.3k1% barfaroni238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $19.9k1% 0x1e55…ddd2238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $10.7k100% ScottyNooo PROVEN238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $16.6k99% Frenzalrhomb238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $51.1k99% Charles0987238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ $11.1k98% franklineth238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $14.2k98% FedMoneyPrinter238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $24.3k98% kgvdotcom238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ $12.2k97% png1024238d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 96¢ $34.9k96% FedMoneyPrinter238d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 95.2¢ $27.9k95% DonaldinhoTrumpito238d agoexcluded
MED SELL No @ 94.5¢ $94.1k
2.8× usual
5% IlIIllIIIllIIl238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ $29.4k97% llllllllllllllllllllllll238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ $11.1k95% LORR238d agoexcluded
HIGH BUY No @ 94.7¢ $292.3k
6.0× usual
95% FedMoneyPrinter238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $10.1k95% 0x3328…e6b8238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 94.7¢ $13.4k95% C78123238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 93.2¢ $21.4k7% Car238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ $14.3k5% flydartball238d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 96.3¢ $51.9k96% MarcoGPT238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $33.9k95% tourists238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 94.1¢ $18.8k94% sbimbg238d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 94.8¢ $55.8k
2.3× usual
95% 0xa82a…d878238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 93.9¢ $28.2k94% mr.ozi238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 93.9¢ $13.3k6% 0x7d5d…91d8238d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 94.2¢ $93.8k
2.8× usual
94% IlIIllIIIllIIl238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 92.4¢ $10.2k92% peal238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 92.1¢ $10.0k92% wubddh238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ $13.8k92% nony1748238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 91.8¢ $18.4k92% 0x1e55…ddd2238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $11.8k91% gopfan2238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $10.4k91% franklineth238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ $20.3k92% twe2nty238d agoexcluded
MED SELL No @ 92.3¢ $10.5k8% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 92.3¢ $15.7k8% wish-238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 91.9¢ $10.9k92% ImJustKen238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ $14.6k92% kamoshirenai238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 93.1¢ $17.9k93% MARCUSW3238d agoexcluded
MED SELL No @ 95.8¢ $15.7k4% MisTKy PROVEN238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 95.1¢ $15.2k95% MisTKy PROVEN238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ $15.4k96% 0xf8a7…6fa3238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 97.1¢ $10.1k3% 0xf900…cd0c238d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 96.9¢ $12.7k3% Yangtaolalala238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ $23.3k98% 0x0e6f…dfb9238d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $12.3k97% Ingg239d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ $12.7k97% anoin123239d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $58.0k
2.2× usual
97% 0xa9e8…c443239d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ $11.1k3% 0x4564…4a11239d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 96.2¢ $77.9k
5.3× usual
96% ChermziKim239d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 96.3¢ $13.6k4% 0x7d5d…91d8239d agoexcluded
MED SELL No @ 95.2¢ $49.3k5% ClaudeAI239d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 95.6¢ $42.8k96% ClaudeAI239d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ $23.9k4% whataplaya239d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $13.9k95% 0xa9e8…c443239d agoexcluded
HIGH SELL No @ 92.6¢ $43.7k7% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN239d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 94.4¢ $15.5k94% kirik988239d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 94.9¢ $24.6k5% Casdifer239d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ $16.4k96% 39192240d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ $10.1k96% 0xa9e8…c443240d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $20.9k96% 0xa9e8…c443240d agoexcluded
MED SELL No @ 94¢ $30.6k6% biggest18240d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $17.8k96% hotdoctor240d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ $10.0k95% Ingg240d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $14.9k96% decanopeterson240d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $10.9k95% monogatari-Snb240d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $31.7k94% whataplaya240d agoexcluded
MED SELL No @ 91¢ $15.4k9% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN241d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $23.5k93% whataplaya241d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 92.2¢ $30.0k92% biggest18241d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 86¢ $10.2k14% Casdifer243d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 88¢ $22.0k88% AssuredAdverts243d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $66.8k
4.3× usual
78% Casdifer246d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ $23.4k23% BlueOrchid246d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 66¢ $15.0k66% Casdifer247d agoexcluded

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 98 whale trades on this market totalling $3.03M from 74 wallets. The largest was $551.4k (buy No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($2.24M) went to No. 62 of 98 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb ($551.4k), has no graded flags yet.

Market data from Polymarket (us-strikes-iran-by-february-27-2026).